2026 House race
Maine 2nd District
Lean R Cook Political Report, as of October 16, 2026
Campaigns through 2026-09-30Outside money through 2026-10-18Source: FEC
outside money is 1.6×
what the campaigns raised
The short version
- Paul LePage has raised $3.2M to Matt Dunlap's $2.7M (1.2x), through September 30, 2026.
- Outside groups have reported $9.3M in general election spending: $6.0M helping the Democrat and $3.3M helping the Republican.
- Largest outside spender: HMP, $5.1M opposing Paul LePage.
Campaign money
Matt Dunlap
- Raised
- $2.7M
- Spent
- $1.9M
- Cash on hand
- $738K
- From PACs
- $177K
- From individuals
- $2.5M
- Self funding
- $10K
- Outside money for (general)
- $6.0M
Campaign totals through September 30, 2026.
Paul LePage
- Raised
- $3.2M
- Spent
- $2.0M
- Cash on hand
- $1.2M
- From PACs
- $615K
- From individuals
- $1.6M
- Self funding
- $0
- Outside money for (general)
- $3.3M
Campaign totals through September 30, 2026.
Outside spending
Not included above: $340K in outside spending that filers reported for the primary, a runoff, or no specific election, involving these two nominees.
Biggest outside spenders, general election
| Spender | Position | Amount |
|---|---|---|
| HMP | Oppose Paul LePage | $5.1M |
| Safety & Affordability PAC Inc. | Oppose Matt Dunlap | $1.8M |
| Cffe PAC | Support Matt Dunlap | $454K |
| National Nurses United for Patient Protection | Support Matt Dunlap | $385K |
| Poverty to Prosperity FEC | Support Paul LePage | $290K |
| America PAC | Oppose Matt Dunlap | $277K |
| No Going Back PAC Inc. | Support Paul LePage | $197K |
| Poverty to Prosperity FEC | Oppose Matt Dunlap | $190K |
| America PAC | Support Paul LePage | $161K |
| No Going Back PAC Inc. | Oppose Matt Dunlap | $160K |
| MAGA Inc. | Oppose Matt Dunlap | $105K |
| The Conservative Caucus dba Americans for Constitutional Liberty FEC | Support Paul LePage | $47K |
| Community Change Voters | Support Matt Dunlap | $45K |
| Progressive Turnout Project | Support Matt Dunlap | $19K |
| National Rifle Association of America Political Victory Fund FEC | Support Paul LePage | $9K |
Where the outside money came from
For the biggest spenders, the money is followed upstream while a single donor supplied at least half of it. From FEC receipts.
- Cffe PAC ← $2.0M from Pivotal Ventures (55% of its reported receipts) No donor disclosure
- National Nurses United for Patient Protection ← $4.2M from National Nurses United (63% of its reported receipts) No donor disclosure
- America PAC ← $82.8M from Elon Musk (59% of its reported receipts)
- Community Change Voters ← $1.0M from Quinn Delaney (55% of its reported receipts)
These totals come from the 24 and 48 hour notices outside groups must file before ads run. They are the disclosed floor. Spending by groups that do not file independent expenditure notices, such as issue ads paid for by 501(c)(4) groups, does not appear here.
Top PAC donors to each campaign
D Matt Dunlap
| PAC | Given | Checks |
|---|---|---|
| Free and Fair Democracy PAC FEC | $5K | 1 |
| National Nurses United | $3K | 1 |
| Pingree for Congress FEC | $2K | 1 |
| Sara Gideon for Maine FEC | $2K | 1 |
| Puget PAC FEC | $2K | 1 |
Itemized PAC contributions processed by the FEC through June 30, 2026. 5 PACs in total.
R Paul LePage
| PAC | Given | Checks |
|---|---|---|
| Lepage for ME-02 Republican Nominee Fund 2026 FEC | $76K | 1 |
| Buckeye Liberty PAC | $15K | 3 |
| Conservative Opportunity Leadership and Enterprise PAC | $10K | 2 |
| Restoring Our Nation PAC | $10K | 2 |
| On Wisconsin PAC, Inc. | $10K | 2 |
| Anti-Woke Fund | $10K | 1 |
| Leadership and Loyalty Only to America PAC | $10K | 2 |
| Dirigo PAC | $10K | 1 |
| The Eye of the Tiger PAC | $10K | 2 |
| Timberline PAC | $7K | 1 |
Itemized PAC contributions processed by the FEC through June 30, 2026. 91 PACs in total.
Primary Sources
- FEC candidate page, Matt Dunlap: fec.gov/data/candidate/H6ME02171
- FEC committee filings, Matt Dunlap principal campaign committee: C00922377
- FEC candidate page, Paul LePage: fec.gov/data/candidate/H6ME02148
- FEC committee filings, Paul LePage principal campaign committee: C00904094
- FEC independent expenditures, 2026 cycle: fec.gov independent expenditures
- Race rating: Cook Political Report, October 16, 2026
- Nominees: www.bangordailynews.com