House races · 40 of 46

2026 House race

Ohio 15th District

Lean R Cook Political Report, as of October 16, 2026

Incumbent: Mike Carey (R). Data pulled from the FEC on October 20, 2026.

Campaigns through 2026-09-30Outside money through 2026-10-16Source: FEC

The short version

  • Mike Carey has raised $4.0M to Don Leonard's $1.1M (3.5x), through September 30, 2026.
  • Outside groups have reported $4.4M in general election spending: $3.1M helping the Democrat and $1.4M helping the Republican.
  • Largest outside spender: HMP, $1.1M opposing Mike Carey.

Campaign money

D Democrat

Don Leonard

Raised
$1.1M
Spent
$950K
Cash on hand
$196K
From PACs
$34K
From individuals
$967K
Self funding
$12K
Outside money for (general)
$3.1M

Campaign totals through September 30, 2026.

R Republican

Mike Carey

Raised
$4.0M
Spent
$3.5M
Cash on hand
$628K
From PACs
$2.1M
From individuals
$1.1M
Self funding
$0
Outside money for (general)
$1.4M

Campaign totals through September 30, 2026.

Outside spending

$4.4MGeneral election independent expenditures in this raceFEC 24 and 48 hour notices, through October 16, 2026
$3.1MSpent to help Don Leonard in the general (supporting them or opposing their opponent)
$1.4MSpent to help Mike Carey in the general (supporting them or opposing their opponent)

Biggest outside spenders, general election

SpenderPositionAmountFEC ID
HMPOppose Mike Carey$1.1MC00495028
Your Community PACSupport Don Leonard$660KC00886614
Your Community PACOppose Mike Carey$630KC00886614
Safety & Affordability PAC Inc.Oppose Don Leonard$312KC00960443
Safety & Affordability PAC Inc.Support Mike Carey$312KC00960443
Cffe PACSupport Don Leonard$306KC00744920
No Going Back PAC Inc.Support Mike Carey$305KC00960435
American Priorities (Ap)Oppose Mike Carey$225KC00932723
Buckeye Prosperity PACOppose Don Leonard$197KC00903559
No Going Back PAC Inc.Oppose Don Leonard$182KC00960435
American Priorities (Ap)Support Don Leonard$75KC00932723
AB PACSupport Don Leonard$54KC00492140
MAGA Inc.Oppose Don Leonard$35KC00892471
National Association of Realtors Political Action CommitteeSupport Mike Carey$13KC00030718
NRA Victory Fund, Inc.Support Mike Carey$10KC00741710

Where the outside money came from

For the biggest spenders, the money is followed upstream while a single donor supplied at least half of it. From FEC receipts.

The Gap

These totals come from the 24 and 48 hour notices outside groups must file before ads run. They are the disclosed floor. Spending by groups that do not file independent expenditure notices, such as issue ads paid for by 501(c)(4) groups, does not appear here.

Top PAC donors to each campaign

D Don Leonard

PACGivenChecks
Building Better Communities$8K2
Miller for America FEC$1K1
Barrier to Entry PAC FEC$1K1
Friends of Cynthia Vermillion$5001
O'shaughnessy Committee$2501

Itemized PAC contributions processed by the FEC through June 30, 2026. 5 PACs in total.

R Mike Carey

PACGivenChecks
Tractor Supply Company PAC FEC$10K4
Capital One Financial Corp. Assoc. Political Fund FEC$10K3
Abbott Laboratories Employee PAC FEC$10K4
Thrivent Financial for Lutherans PAC FEC$10K6
Ohio Corn and Wheat Growers Association PAC$10K2
Synchrony Financial Employees PAC (Syncpac) FEC$10K2
National Multifamily Housing Council PAC$10K2
American Council of Engineering Companies (Acec/PAC)$10K5
Fifth Third Bancorp PAC FEC$10K3
American Resort Development Association Resort Owners Coalition PAC (Arda-Roc PAC)$10K3

Itemized PAC contributions processed by the FEC through June 30, 2026. 510 PACs in total.

Primary Sources

  1. FEC candidate page, Don Leonard: fec.gov/data/candidate/H6OH15112
  2. FEC committee filings, Don Leonard principal campaign committee: C00913491
  3. FEC candidate page, Mike Carey: fec.gov/data/candidate/H2OH15228
  4. FEC committee filings, Mike Carey principal campaign committee: C00779603
  5. FEC independent expenditures, 2026 cycle: fec.gov independent expenditures
  6. Race rating: Cook Political Report, October 16, 2026
  7. Nominees: spectrumnews1.com
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